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Norman Fenton is Professor of Risk Information Management at Queen Mary London University and is also a Director of Agena, a company that specialises in risk management for critical systems. Norman is a mathematician by training whose current research focuses on critical decision-making and, in particular, on quantifying uncertainty. This typically involves analysing and predicting the probabilities of unknown events using causal, probabilistic models (Bayesian networks).
This type of reasoning enables improved assessment by taking account of both statistical data where available and also expert judgment, providing more powerful insights and better decision making than is possible from purely data-driven solutions.